Today I am a full-time private investor, trading whatever I find interesting. Prior to that I worked at Bridgewater Associates from 1998-2023 where I was the co-head of the Macro Team, responsible for maintaining our views on cyclical conditions for all major economies. For 25 years I wrote at least one weekly research piece going to institutional investors and policy makers. A lot of samples are included here, though keep in mind that these relied on great analysts/peers/data/feedback and a fertile intellectual environment I am no longer a part of. And even with that I did get a lot wrong as these pieces also show. My main market focus was trading short-rates (views on monetary policy), though I also worked in the later years on some individual equity strategies. I grew up in Brazil during the hyperinflation years (where I got my passion for macro), and went to a generic Ivy league school where I developed a passion for bridge and fantasy baseball.

I live an hour from NYC, with my wife/high-school sweetheart and a greyhound. My main other interest is helping other humans irrespective of who they are or where they live in the most cost-effective way possible (i.e. the classic flavor of effective altruism as practiced by Givewell). While I have zero political aspirations, I am also spending a lot more time thinking about the US political backdrop because I really like living here. My grandparents were holocaust survivors and I don’t take anything for granted. I have recently supported the Voter Participation Center (non-profit with a focus on getting young people, minorities, and unmarried women to vote) and I also love what the Forward Party is trying to build.

jasonrotenberg@gmail.com